By EidoSearch
Kent Brockman: Mr. Simpson, how do you respond to the charges that petty vandalism such as graffiti is down eighty percent, while heavy sack beatings are up a shocking nine hundred percent? Homer Simpson: Aw, you can come up with statistics to prove anything, Kent. Forty percent of all people know that. If you read
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By EidoSearch
“Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with Gravity” – Don Johnson, aka Sonny Crocket, Miami Vice In many industries, the use of statistics and probabilities is a necessary part of the everyday decision making process: · Doctors chart the best course of treatment with the highest probability of survival to a particular illness
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By EidoSearch
“The real glory is getting knocked to your knees and then coming back.” – Vince Lombardi U.S. Energy stocks were up about 17% this year through June 23rd, more than doubling the return of the S&P 500. Since that time however, they are down more than 4% including a 6% drop in just two weeks
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By EidoSearch
“Pure mathematics is, in its way, the poetry of logical ideas” – Albert Einstein Idea Generation! Isn’t that the name of the game? Whether you’re a deep value equity investor looking for mispriced companies or misunderstood situations, or a trend follower in commodities, a stream of compelling ideas allows you to do what you do
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By EidoSearch
“Alles ist seinen Preis wert” – German Proverb The above quote, translated for those like myself that don’t understand a lick of German, means that everything is worth its price. The TecDAX, an index introduced in 2003 that follows the 30 largest German Technology stocks, was up 20% in 2012 and another 38% in 2013.
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By EidoSearch
“Beer is not a good cocktail party drink, especially in a home where you don’t know where the bathroom is.” – Billy Carter Constellation Brands (STZ) has been on a two year “bender”. A little over two years ago, on June 18, 2012, the stock price stood at $19.37. Through July 3rd of this year it
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By EidoSearch
“We need a merger partner or we’re not going to make it” – Purported quote from John Mack, Morgan Stanley CEO, talking to Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit – NY Times on September 17, 2008 (later pulled) Trading at $33.24 as of Friday’s close, Morgan Stanley (MS) is knocking on the door of $35 again, a
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By EidoSearch
The questions just about every investor involved with the U.S. Equity markets is asking these days are, “Will we get a significant pull back? When is it going to happen? How severe will it be?” “I am talking about a veritable explosion to (deal) levels never seen before. I think it is likely that all
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By EidoSearch
“The biggest risk is not taking any risk…..in a world that is changing really quickly, the only strategy that is guaranteed to fail is not taking risks.” – Mark Zuckerberg After peaking at $72 in mid-March, Facebook’s stock price has been pretty choppy. The price dropped all the way back to $56 by the end of
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By EidoSearch
“The obvious is that which is never seen until someone expresses it simply.” – Khalil Gibran Last Thursday, the Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden) cut their repurchase rate by 50 basis points to a record low of .25%. The move exceeded the consensus view of a .25% cut due to lower than expected inflation,
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